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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Famalicao — FC Porto

Predictions by Market: Famalicao vs FC Porto

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 18:00
0:1
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FAM
13%
Best 5.85
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · POR
64%
Best 1.57
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.18
book 3.60 · +13.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +13.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (69%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 3.99
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 12.9%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.4%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 12.9%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 36%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.1%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
FAM – POR @ 3.60
+13.1%
Edge
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