Match AVS vs GIL Vicente November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.81 — +10.0% better than the market.

GIL Vicente arrives with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent run compared to AVS's struggles. The visitors' superior quality and offensive edge against AVS's leaky defense suggest they will control the game. AVS's home advantage is limited given their poor form and defensive vulnerabilities.

GIL Vicente's pressing and attacking efficiency likely to exploit AVS's fragile backline
AVS's low scoring form reduces goal threat despite home ground
Match pace hints at a moderately open game but controlled by visitors

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.81 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AVS 4-2-3-1 · VIC 4-2-3-1

AVS · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · VIC

7 Tomané

Subs used · AVS

46'

Lima ↑ ·

Bane ↓

71'

Rivas ↑ ·

Kiki ↓

71'

Nene ↑ ·

Tomane ↓

71'

Duarte ↑ ·

Akinsola ↓

80'

Ponck ↑ ·

Semedo ↓

Subs used · VIC

46'

Hevertton ↑ ·

Carlos ↓

75'

Carlos ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

75'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Fernandes ↓

75'

Varela ↑ ·

Pablo ↓

89'

Toure ↑ ·

Souza ↓

📊 Statistics

AVS 1 – 1 VIC

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.77

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.95

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 1

⚽

S. Garcia

Assist · Murilo de Souza · 0–1

33'

▮

Zé Carlos

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

Pedro Lima ↓ · S. Bane ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

S. Hevertton ↓ · Ze Carlos ↑

Substitution 1

65'

▮

Santi García

Yellow Card

D. Rivas ↓ · Kiki ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

D. Duarte ↓ · T. Akinsola ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

75'

⇄

Ze Carlos ↓ · S. Garcia ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

M. Fernandez ↓ · J. Fernandes ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

G. Varela ↓ · Pablo ↑

Substitution 4

76'

▮

Gustavo Varela

Yellow Card

Gustavo Assunção

Yellow Card

▮

79'

Ponck ↓ · R. Semedo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

82'

▮

Marvin Elimbi

Yellow Card

84'

▮

Zé Carlos

Yellow Card

Nene

Assist · Pedro Lima · 1–1

⚽

87'

89'

⇄

T. Toure ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

AVS and GIL Vicente drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Garcia (5'), Nene (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.47 units (Brier 0.180).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.81	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.73	—	60%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.10	—	43%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.22	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.10	—	39%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	86%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.02	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	66%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.33	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	80%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	89%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.64	—	25%	Cashed	+2.64	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.20	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.03	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.72	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.47u	−15% ROI