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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Estrela — Nacional

Predictions Estrela vs Nacional November 9, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 L L L D D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 15:30
1:1
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Estádio José Gomes · Amadora Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Home Win · EST
27%
Best 2.40
Draw
27%
Best 3.10
Away Win · NAC
46%
Best 3.05
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.25
Fair odds
2.24
book 2.25 · +0.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 45% · EV +0.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.83
Show model details
Implied probability 35.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 29.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.