Match Santa Clara vs Sporting CP November 8, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Sporting CP arrives at Estádio de São Miguel with clear quality and form advantages. Their potent attack faces a Santa Clara defense that has struggled recently, suggesting Sporting’s offensive edge could be decisive. Despite Santa Clara’s home comfort, Sporting’s momentum and superior tactical balance hint at control, especially in transitions and set-pieces.

Sporting’s sharper attack against a leaky defense
Home side’s recent form shows vulnerability
Likely open game with goal-scoring chances for both

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

SAN 5-4-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1

SAN · 5-4-1 4-2-3-1 · SPO

29 Wendell

Subs used · SAN

67'

Pereira ↑ ·

Wendell ↓

89'

Brenner ↑ ·

Serginho ↓

89'

Costa ↑ ·

Lopes ↓

Subs used · SPO

46'

Ioannidis ↑ ·

Simoes ↓

57'

Morita ↑ ·

Goncalves ↓

57'

Quenda ↑ ·

Catamo ↓

76'

Santos ↑ ·

Fresneda ↓

90+4'

Reis ↑ ·

Trincao ↓

📊 Statistics

SAN 1 – 2 SPO

26%

Possession (%)

74%

0.74

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

67%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

27 · 1 – 2

Wendel Silva

Yellow Card

▮

Vinicius Lopes

Assist · Wendell · 1–0

⚽

13'

▮

João Simões

Yellow Card

32'

⚽

P. Goncalves

Assist · G. Catamo · 1–1

Serginho

Yellow Card

▮

36'

▮

Ousmane Diomande

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 1

46'

⇄

F. Ioannidis ↓ · J. Simoes ↑

Substitution 1

54'

▮

Iván Fresneda

Yellow Card

57'

⇄

H. Morita ↓ · P. Goncalves ↑

Substitution 2

57'

⇄

G. Quenda ↓ · G. Catamo ↑

Substitution 3

Frederico Venâncio

Yellow Card

▮

60'

Matheus Pereira ↓ · Wendell ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

Sidney Lima

Yellow Card

▮

72'

76'

⇄

Alisson Santos ↓ · I. Fresneda ↑

Substitution 4

Brenner ↓ · Serginho ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

89'

J. Costa ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

89'

90'

⚽

M. Hjulmand

Assist · G. Quenda · 1–2

90+1'

▮

Maximiliano Araújo

Red Card

Adriano Firmino

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Paulo Victor

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Matheus Pereira

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

⇄

Matheus Reis ↓ · Trincao ↑

Substitution 5

Adriano Firmino

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Adriano Firmino

Red Card

▮

90+5'

Sidney Lima

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Sidney Lima

Red Card

▮

90+6'

▮

Rui Silva

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Sporting CP won 2–1 away at Santa Clara. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 74% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.67 to 0.74. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 5, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 13 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Vinicius Lopes (5'), P. Goncalves (32'), M. Hjulmand (90'). Sidney Lima was sent off in the 90+6' minute. Adriano Firmino was sent off in the 90+5' minute. Maximiliano Araújo was sent off in the 90+1' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.17 units (Brier 0.091).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.07	—	58%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.30	—	50%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS No	1.67	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.85	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	—	79%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	1.47	—	70%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.70	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.10	—	92%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.97	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.15	—	70%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	94%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	4.42	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.30	—	63%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Home Win	8.60	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.20	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.19	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.17u	−30% ROI