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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Tondela — Guimaraes

Match Tondela vs Guimaraes November 8, 2025

Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 18:00
0:1
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.50
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.91
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.71
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.05 – 1.27
Δ −0.22
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Guimaraes arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Tondela's struggles at the back, while Guimaraes' attack should find opportunities against a home side that concedes too often. The home team’s slight pressing edge may help contain damage, but Guimaraes' consistency and tactical discipline likely tilt the balance.

  • Guimaraes' defensive strength vs Tondela's attack
  • Better away form and overall quality gap
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

TON 4-2-3-1 · GUI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · TON
61' Yarlen ↑ · Tavares
80' Rodriguez ↑ · Maranhao
80' Manso ↑ · Bebeto
85' Siebatcheu ↑ · Cavaleiro
85' Cicero ↑ · Sithole
Subs used · GUI
68' Nogueira ↑ · Mitrovic
80' Lebedenko ↑ · I. Mendes
81' Nogueira ↑ · Samu
81' Saviolo ↑ · Arcanjo
90+5' Nobrega ↑ · Camara

📊 Statistics

TON 01 GUI
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.05
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.27
15
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
11
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
56'
Oumar Camara
Yellow Card
Yarlen ↓ · H. Tavares ↑
Substitution 1
61'
Brayan Medina
Yellow Card
62'
68'
M. Nogueira ↓ · M. Mitrovic ↑
Substitution 1
Y. Rodriguez ↓ · Pedro Maranhao ↑
Substitution 2
80'
T. Manso ↓ · Bebeto ↑
Substitution 3
80'
80'
O. Lebedenko ↓ · J. I. Mendes ↑
Substitution 2
81'
G. Nogueira ↓ · Samu ↑
Substitution 3
81'
N. Saviolo ↓ · T. Arcanjo ↑
Substitution 4
J. Siebatcheu ↓ · I. Cavaleiro ↑
Substitution 4
85'
Cicero ↓ · S. Sithole ↑
Substitution 5
85'
90'
O. Camara (P)
Penalty · 0–1
Bernardo Fontes
Yellow Card
90+1'
Tiago Manso
Yellow Card
90+1'
90+5'
M. Nobrega ↓ · O. Camara ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.50 48% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 55% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.71 60% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.26 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.77 48% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.19 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.42 76% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.10 34% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.57 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.10 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 80% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 88% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.32 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.24u −13% ROI