Alverca vs Rio Ave 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.60 — +7.6% better than the market.

Rio Ave holds a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form, suggesting they can impose their attacking threat on Alverca’s defense. The home side’s defensive solidity might keep things tight, but Rio Ave’s sharper offense and overall strength hint at an away advantage. Expect a balanced tempo with potential for a few goals given both teams’ moderate scoring and conceding patterns.

Rio Ave’s offensive edge against Alverca’s defense
Home side’s resilience could limit scoring
Moderate pace likely with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.60 ✓ Cashed

AI 67% Implied 63% +0.60u

+60%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ALV 3-4-3 · RIO 3-4-3

ALV · 3-4-3 3-4-3 · RIO

11 Nuozzi

Subs used · ALV

69'

Lima ↑ ·

Nuozzi ↓

78'

Gui ↑ ·

Abdulai ↓

78'

Leite ↑ ·

Marezi ↓

90+5'

Esteves ↑ ·

Lincoln ↓

90+5'

Cabezas ↑ ·

Amorim ↓

Subs used · RIO

63'

Spikic ↑ ·

Pohlmann ↓

87'

Nikitscher ↑ ·

Aguilera Zamora ↓

87'

Liavas ↑ ·

Athanasiou ↓

90+5'

Papakanellos ↑ ·

Luiz ↓

Statistics

ALV 1 – 1 RIO

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.60

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 1 – 1

35'

⚽

Clayton

Assist · M. Vrousai · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

63'

⇄

D. Spikic ↓ · O. Pohlmann ↑

Substitution 1

Sandro Lima ↓ · C. Nuozzi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

69'

Sandro Lima

Assist · Lincoln · 1–1

⚽

77'

D. Gui ↓ · S. Abdulai ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

T. Leite ↓ · Marezi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

Francisco Chissumba

Yellow Card

▮

81'

Davy Gui

Yellow Card

▮

82'

87'

⇄

T. Nikitscher ↓ · B. Aguilera Zamora ↑

Substitution 2

87'

⇄

G. Liavas ↓ · N. Athanasiou ↑

Substitution 3

G. Esteves ↓ · Lincoln ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+5'

G. Cabezas ↓ · Amorim ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+5'

⇄

A. Papakanellos ↓ · Andre Luiz ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Alverca and Rio Ave drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.67 to 0.60. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3.

On the scoresheet: Clayton (35'), Sandro Lima (77').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.15 units (Brier 0.151).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	67%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.20	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.91	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.76	—	55%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.92	—	49%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.21	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.46	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.76	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.15	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	60%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.40	—	70%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	90%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.28	—	76%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.25	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.15u	−19% ROI

Alverca vs Rio Ave 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled