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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › GIL Vicente — Santa Clara

GIL Vicente vs Santa Clara 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 L W D L L
Kick-off
Mon 03 Nov · 20:45
1:0
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W D W L Away · last 5
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee Sergio Guelho, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 50% · book 2.42 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.78 ✗
Miss
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 67% · book 1.62 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.57 – 0.56
Δ +0.01
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.78 — +14.7% better than the market.

GIL Vicente holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a potent attack against Santa Clara's leaky defense. The home side's defensive solidity and pressing edge should limit Santa Clara's chances, who have struggled away and show inconsistent form. Expect a controlled tempo with GIL Vicente dictating play and likely capitalizing on set-piece opportunities.

  • Home advantage with solid defensive shape
  • Superior offensive firepower vs weaker away defense
  • Recent form favors GIL Vicente's confidence and rhythm

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 2.78 ✗ Lost
AI 41% Implied 36% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

VIC 4-3-3 · SAN 4-3-3
Subs used · VIC
62' Fernandez ↑ · Fernandes ↓
72' Bermejo ↑ · Pablo ↓
72' Varela ↑ · Carlos ↓
90' Hevertton ↑ · Souza ↓
90' Maia ↑ · Garcia ↓
Subs used · SAN
72' Manoel ↑ · Brenner ↓
72' Tavares ↑ · Serginho ↓
73' Pereira ↑ · Wendell ↓
90' Costa ↑ · Victor ↓

Statistics

VIC 1 – 0 SAN
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.57
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.56
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
6
4
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
0
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
14
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
Pablo
Assist · J. Fernandes · 1–0
⚽
9'
Half-time · 1 – 0
51'
▮
Lucas Soares
Yellow Card
53'
▮
Adriano Firmino
Yellow Card
Joelson Fernandes
Yellow Card
▮
55'
62'
▮
Luís Rocha
Yellow Card
M. Fernandez ↓ · J. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
Bermejo ↓ · Pablo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
G. Varela ↓ · Ze Carlos ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
72'
⇄
Elias Manoel ↓ · Brenner ↑
Substitution 1
72'
⇄
J. Tavares ↓ · Serginho ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
Matheus Pereira ↓ · Wendell ↑
Substitution 3
S. Hevertton ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
G. Maia ↓ · S. Garcia ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
90'
⇄
J. Costa ↓ · Paulo Victor ↑
Substitution 4
Gonçalo Maia Pereira
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

GIL Vicente beat Santa Clara 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Pablo (9').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.61 units (Brier 0.159).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.42 — 50% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.78 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.62 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.40 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.65 — 56% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.69 — 50% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.48 — 33% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.60 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.35 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 6.00 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.35 — 78% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Draw 3.15 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.50 — 59% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.13 — 89% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.17 — 79% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.41 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.61u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
VIC – SAN @ 2.78
+14.7%
Edge
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