FC Porto vs SC Braga 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.02 — +14.5% better than the market.

FC Porto arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a strong defensive record and a notable edge in overall quality. Their offensive pressure should challenge Braga's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Braga's attack is decent but faces a tough test against Porto's compact block. The recent form favors Porto slightly, and the match tempo hints at a lively contest with multiple goal opportunities.

Porto's solid defense and home edge
Braga's attack vs Porto's defensive resilience
Recent form and expected open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.02 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 50% +1.02u

+102%

ROI on stake

Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · BRA 3-4-3

POR · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · BRA

11 Pepê

Subs used · POR

57'

Veiga ↑ ·

Mora ↓

57'

Fernandes ↑ ·

Moura ↓

64'

Sainz ↑ ·

Pepê ↓

64'

Gul ↑ ·

Samu ↓

73'

Rosario ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

Subs used · BRA

62'

Moutinho ↑ ·

Grillitsch ↓

62'

Navarro ↑ ·

Victor ↓

84'

Martinez ↑ ·

Lelo ↓

89'

Rodrigues ↑ ·

Gorby ↓

Statistics

POR 2 – 1 BRA

32%

Possession (%)

68%

0.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.90

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 2 – 1

Francisco Moura

Yellow Card

▮

19'

R. Mora

Assist · Samu · 1–0

⚽

45'

Half-time · 1 – 0

51'

⚽

V. Gomez

Assist · R. Zalazar · 1–1

G. Veiga ↓ · R. Mora ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

57'

M. Fernandes ↓ · F. Moura ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

62'

⇄

J. Moutinho ↓ · F. Grillitsch ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

F. Navarro ↓ · P. Victor ↑

Substitution 2

63'

▮

João Moutinho

Yellow Card

B. Sainz ↓ · Pepê ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

D. Gul ↓ · Samu ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

64'

Jan Bednarek

Yellow Card

▮

66'

P. Rosario ↓ · William Gomes ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

73'

78'

▮

Gustaf Lagerbielke

Yellow Card

B. Sainz

Assist · G. Veiga · 2–1

⚽

79'

Martim Fernandes

Yellow Card

▮

81'

84'

⇄

G. Martinez ↓ · L. Lelo ↑

Substitution 3

89'

⇄

D. Rodrigues ↓ · Gorby ↑

Substitution 4

90+5'

▮

Rodrigo Zalazar

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

FC Porto beat SC Braga 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Mora (45'), V. Gomez (51'), B. Sainz (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.41 units (Brier 0.088).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.95	—	59%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.02	—	57%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.58	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.96	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.83	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.56	—	67%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	81%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	89%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.19	—	67%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.32	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.37	—	62%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.80	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.20	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.90	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.41u	−32% ROI

FC Porto vs SC Braga 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled