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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › FC Porto — Benfica

Predictions FC Porto vs Benfica October 5, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 20:15
0:0
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
Home Win · POR
52%
Best 2.00
Draw
—%
Best 3.32
Away Win · BEN
—%
Best 3.68
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.15
Fair odds
1.92
book 2.15 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 52% · EV +12.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 1 market
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 1 market
✓ Under 2.5 Top pick
Probability 56%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.5%
Bet quality Medium
Team Totals 2 markets
✓ Away Team Total Under 0.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Team Total Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 85%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.