Match Nottingham Forest vs Wolves February 11, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.86 — +14.3% better than the market.

Nottingham Forest hold a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing signs of stronger attacking potential against Wolves' compact defense. Their recent form suggests resilience, while Wolves struggle for consistency and have a defensive setup that may be tested by Forest's sharper offense. Expect a controlled tempo with limited goals, as both sides prioritize solidity.

Home side's offensive edge against Wolves' defense
Forest's better recent form and home comfort
Likely cautious approach limiting goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.86 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 54% +0.86u

+86%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NOT 4-2-3-1 · WOL 3-4-1-2

NOT · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · WOL

20 Lucca

Subs used · NOT

65'

Ndoye ↑ ·

Hudson-Odoi ↓

71'

Jesus ↑ ·

Lucca ↓

Subs used · WOL

60'

M. Wolfe ↑ ·

Bueno ↓

60'

Tchatchoua ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

78'

Bellegarde ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

📊 Statistics

NOT 0 – 0 WOL

63%

Possession (%)

37%

2.71

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.39

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

7 · 0 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

60'

⇄

D. M. Wolfe ↓ · H. Bueno ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

J. Tchatchoua ↓ · R. Gomes ↑

Substitution 2

D. Ndoye ↓ · C. Hudson-Odoi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

Igor Jesus ↓ · L. Lucca ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

75'

▮

Jackson Tchatchoua

Yellow Card

78'

⇄

J. Bellegarde ↓ · A. Gomes ↑

Substitution 3

86'

▮

Jean-Ricner Bellegarde

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Nottingham Forest and Wolves drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.71 to 0.39. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 35 shots to 7, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 10 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +8.82 units (Brier 0.290).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.86	—	61%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
BTTS No	1.87	—	59%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Home Win	1.72	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.27	—	37%	Cashed	+1.27	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.01	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.11	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	36%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	12%	Cashed	+9.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.30	—	81%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.26	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	88%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.94	—	24%	Cashed	+2.94	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.37	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.58	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.10	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+8.82u	+52% ROI