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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Crystal Palace — Burnley

Match Crystal Palace vs Burnley February 11, 2026

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L D L D L
Kick-off
Wed 11 Feb · 19:30
2:3
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee Farai Hallam, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.66
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.95
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.87
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.83 – 0.52
Δ +1.31
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Crystal Palace hosts Burnley with a clear quality edge and a solid defensive setup that could frustrate the visitors. Despite recent mixed form, Palace's home momentum and superior attack-defense matchup suggest they can control the game tempo. Burnley’s recent struggles and lower offensive threat hint at a cautious, low-scoring affair.

  • Palace’s defensive solidity at Selhurst Park
  • Burnley’s limited attacking threat away
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring compact play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · BUR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · CRY
46' Riad ↑ · Lerma
58' Johnson ↑ · Guessand
72' Pino ↑ · Kamada
72' Hughes ↑ · Munoz
83' Uche ↑ · Wharton
Subs used · BUR
73' Bruun Larsen ↑ · Edwards
73' Foster ↑ · Flemming
83' Ward-Prowse ↑ · Mejbri
87' Florentino ↑ · Ugochukwu

📊 Statistics

CRY 23 BUR
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.83
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.52
20
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
4
14
Shots Inside Box
4
8
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
8
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 2 – 3
J. S. Larsen
Assist · A. Wharton · 1–0
17'
J. S. Larsen
Assist · J. Lerma · 2–0
33'
Chris Richards
Yellow Card
35'
Jefferson Lerma
Yellow Card
36'
40'
H. Mejbri
Assist · M. Edwards · 2–1
44'
J. Anthony
Assist · L. Ugochukwu · 2–2
45'
J. Lerma
Own goal · 2–3
Half-time · 2 – 3
C. Riad ↓ · J. Lerma ↑
Substitution 1
46'
B. Johnson ↓ · E. Guessand ↑
Substitution 2
58'
Y. Pino ↓ · D. Kamada ↑
Substitution 3
72'
W. Hughes ↓ · D. Munoz ↑
Substitution 4
72'
73'
J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · M. Edwards ↑
Substitution 1
73'
L. Foster ↓ · Z. Flemming ↑
Substitution 2
74'
Hannibal Mejbri
Yellow Card
C. Uche ↓ · A. Wharton ↑
Substitution 5
83'
83'
J. Ward-Prowse ↓ · H. Mejbri ↑
Substitution 3
87'
Florentino ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 2 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.66 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.95 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.02 46% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 45% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.47 35% Cashed +1.47 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.70 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.24 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.11 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.32 71% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.40 25% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Away Win 6.20 12% Cashed +5.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.56 12% Cashed +3.56 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +6.03u +35% ROI