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Home › England › Premier League › Burnley — West Ham

Burnley vs West Ham 0:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 15:00
0:2
Full-time
West Ham
West Ham
W L L L W Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Darren England, England
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.96 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.17 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.27 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.28 – 1.02
Δ +0.26
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.27 — +14.3% better than the market.

Burnley hosts West Ham in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form, suggesting a pressing away momentum. Burnley’s defensive solidity at Turf Moor could keep the game tight, but West Ham’s sharper attack against a resilient defense hints at a balanced contest. Expect a moderate tempo with both sides cautious, leaning towards a low-scoring affair.

  • West Ham’s offensive edge versus Burnley’s defense
  • Home defensive compactness may limit chances
  • Recent form favors West Ham’s consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.27 ✓ Cashed
AI 50% Implied 44% +1.27u
+127%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BUR 4-5-1 · WES 4-4-1-1
BUR · 4-5-1 4-4-1-1 · WES 1 Dúbravka 2 Walker 12 Humphreys 5 Estève 23 Pires 10 Edwards 28 Mejbri 16 Luís 8 Ugochukwu 11 Anthony 19 Flemming 1 Hermansen 29 Wan-Bissaka 15 Mavropanos 4 Disasi 12 Diouf 20 Bowen 28 Souček 18 Fernandes 7 Summerville ⚽ 9 Wilson 11 Castellanos ⚽
Subs used · BUR
46' Laurent ↑ · Florentino ↓
66' Bruun Larsen ↑ · Anthony ↓
67' Foster ↑ · Flemming ↓
67' Tchaouna ↑ · Edwards ↓
79' Broja ↑ · Ugochukwu ↓
Subs used · WES
57' Potts ↑ · Wilson ↓
79' Pablo ↑ · Castellanos ↓
79' Scarles ↑ · Diouf ↓
90+2' Walker-Peters ↑ · Bowen ↓
90+2' Traore ↑ · Summerville ↓

Statistics

BUR 0 – 2 WES
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.02
18
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
2
11
Shots Inside Box
3
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
10
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

16 · 0 – 2
13'
⚽
C. Summerville
Assist · M. Fernandes · 0–1
Florentino Luís
Yellow Card
▮
24'
26'
⚽
T. Castellanos
Assist · M. Diouf · 0–2
41'
▮
El Hadji Malick Diouf
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 2
J. Laurent ↓ · Florentino ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
57'
⇄
F. Potts ↓ · C. Wilson ↑
Substitution 1
J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · J. Anthony ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
L. Foster ↓ · Z. Flemming ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
67'
L. Tchaouna ↓ · M. Edwards ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
67'
Bashir Humphreys
Yellow Card
▮
76'
A. Broja ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
79'
⇄
Pablo ↓ · T. Castellanos ↑
Substitution 2
79'
⇄
O. Scarles ↓ · M. Diouf ↑
Substitution 3
Josh Laurent
Yellow Card
▮
84'
90+2'
⇄
K. Walker-Peters ↓ · J. Bowen ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
⇄
A. Traore ↓ · C. Summerville ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

West Ham won 2–0 away at Burnley. At half-time it was 0–2.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 6, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Summerville (13'), T. Castellanos (26').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.67 units (Brier 0.122).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.96 — 59% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
BTTS No 2.17 — 54% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Away Win 2.27 — 50% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.83 — 50% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.71 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.76 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.01 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.42 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.40 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 — 79% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.37 — 76% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 89% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.31 — 67% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Home Win 3.38 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.67u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
BUR – WES @ 2.27
+14.3%
Edge
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