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Home › England › Premier League › Newcastle — Brentford

Predictions by Market: Newcastle vs Brentford

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 17:30
2:3
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
L W L D D Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Andy Madley, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NEW
42%
Best 2.12
Draw
24%
Best 3.55
Away Win · BRE
34%
Best 3.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.73
book 1.91 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 58% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (66%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.94
Show model details
Implied probability 25.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.1%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
NEW – BRE @ 1.91
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →