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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Everton — Leeds

Match Everton vs Leeds January 26, 2026 — Result and Stats

Everton
Everton
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Mon 26 Jan · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool, Merseyside Referee Simon Hooper, England
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.74
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.93
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.30
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.60 – 1.21
Δ −0.61
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Everton hosts Leeds in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Everton’s home form and defensive solidity could keep things tight. Leeds’ sharper attack faces a resilient Everton backline, suggesting a tactical battle with few clear-cut chances. Recent form favors Everton slightly, hinting at home momentum to challenge Leeds’ pressing style.

  • Everton’s compact defense vs Leeds’ attacking threat
  • Home form advantage with solid recent results
  • Moderate pace expected, likely a measured contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

EVE 4-2-3-1 · LEE 3-4-2-1
Subs used · EVE
46' Dewsbury-Hall ↑ · McNeil
46' Branthwaite ↑ · Armstrong
71' Dibling ↑ · Patterson
89' Beto ↑ · Barry
Subs used · LEE
66' Tanaka ↑ · Gruev
85' Longstaff ↑ · Stach
85' Buonanotte ↑ · Bornauw
85' Okafor ↑ · Aaronson

📊 Statistics

EVE 11 LEE
58%
Possession (%)
42%
0.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.21
10
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
7
6
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
13
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
0
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 1 – 1
28'
J. Justin
Assist · A. Stach · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
K. Dewsbury-Hall ↓ · D. McNeil ↑
Substitution 1
46'
J. Branthwaite ↓ · H. Armstrong ↑
Substitution 2
46'
54'
Anton Stach
Yellow Card
56'
Ilia Gruev
Yellow Card
66'
A. Tanaka ↓ · I. Gruev ↑
Substitution 1
T. Dibling ↓ · N. Patterson ↑
Substitution 3
71'
T. Barry
Assist · I. Gueye · 1–1
76'
85'
S. Longstaff ↓ · A. Stach ↑
Substitution 2
85'
F. Buonanotte ↓ · S. Bornauw ↑
Substitution 3
85'
N. Okafor ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 4
Beto ↓ · T. Barry ↑
Substitution 4
89'
90'
Facundo Buonanotte
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Everton and Leeds drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.21 to 0.60. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Justin (28'), T. Barry (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.23 units (Brier 0.149).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.74 57% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
BTTS No 1.93 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.30 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.92 48% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.13 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.59 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.84 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.57 69% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Away Win 3.04 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 59% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.09 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 68% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.26 78% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.33 28% Cashed +2.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.23u −19% ROI