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Home England Premier League Arsenal — Manchester United

Predictions Arsenal vs Manchester United January 25, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 16:30
2:3
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W W D W W Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee Craig Pawson, England
Home Win · ARS
66%
Best 1.57
Draw
23%
Best 4.35
Away Win · MUN
12%
Best 5.78
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.80
Fair odds
2.50
book 2.80 · +11.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +11.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (60%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 6.30
Show model details
Implied probability 15.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.78
Show model details
Implied probability 20.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ARS – MUN @ 2.80
+11.9%
Edge
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