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Home › England › Premier League › Arsenal — Manchester United

Predictions by Market: Arsenal vs Manchester United

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 16:30
2:3
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W W D W W Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee Craig Pawson, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARS
66%
Best 1.57
Draw
23%
Best 4.35
Away Win · MUN
12%
Best 5.78
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.80
Fair odds
2.50
book 2.80 · +11.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +11.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (60%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 6.30
Show model details
Implied probability 15.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.78
Show model details
Implied probability 20.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ARS – MUN @ 2.80
+11.9%
Edge
Forecast →