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Home England Premier League Chelsea — Brentford

Predictions Chelsea vs Brentford January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 15:00
2:0
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
L W L D D Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee John Brooks, England
Home Win · CHE
61%
Best 1.89
Draw
23%
Best 3.80
Away Win · BRE
16%
Best 4.03
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.76
Fair odds
1.64
book 1.76 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 61% · EV +7.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 16.4%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 42%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 16.4%
Odds 3.81
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.