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Home England Premier League Liverpool — Burnley

Predictions Liverpool vs Burnley January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee Andy Madley, England
Home Win · LIV
79%
Best 1.23
Draw
16%
Best 6.50
Away Win · BUR
5%
Best 12.60
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.68
Fair odds
1.48
book 1.68 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 68% · EV +13.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 15.6%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 5%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.3%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.7%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.45
Show model details
Implied probability 22.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
LIV – BUR @ 1.68
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →