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Home England Premier League Manchester United — Manchester City

Predictions Manchester United vs Manchester City January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 12:30
2:0
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Home Win · MUN
20%
Best 3.25
Draw
23%
Best 3.70
Away Win · MCI
57%
Best 2.19
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.32
Fair odds
2.20
book 2.32 · +5.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +5.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 57.3%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 19.8%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 85.2%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 14.8%
Odds 5.80
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.79
Show model details
Implied probability 35.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 19.8%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 42.7%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.