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Home England Premier League Manchester City — Brighton

Predictions Manchester City vs Brighton January 7, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Wed 07 Jan · 19:30
1:1
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Thomas Bramall, England
Home Win · MCI
72%
Best 1.50
Draw
19%
Best 4.75
Away Win · BRI
9%
Best 5.90
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.65
Fair odds
1.62
book 1.65 · +1.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 62% · EV +1.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.5%
Odds 5.47
Show model details
Implied probability 18.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 9.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.9%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.6%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 38.4%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 9.2%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.24
Show model details
Implied probability 30.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.