Match Everton vs Wolves January 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.81 — +12.4% better than the market.

Everton hold a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed form. Their solid defensive shape and higher offensive output against Wolves' less robust backline suggest control in key phases. Wolves' struggles away and limited attacking threat may see Everton dominate possession and chances.

Home defensive resilience vs Wolves' modest attack
Everton's better form and home comfort
Lower expected goals hint at a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 55% +0.81u

+81%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EVE 4-3-3 · WOL 3-5-2

EVE · 4-3-3 3-5-2 · WOL

18 Grealish

Subs used · EVE

87'

Patterson ↑ ·

Armstrong ↓

87'

Beto ↑ ·

Barry ↓

90+1'

Rohl ↑ ·

McNeil ↓

Subs used · WOL

46'

Andre ↑ ·

Arias ↓

67'

S. Larsen ↑ ·

Krejci ↓

90+5'

Lima ↑ ·

Hee-Chan ↓

📊 Statistics

EVE 1 – 1 WOL

45%

Possession (%)

55%

0.89

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 1

M. Keane

Assist · T. Iroegbunam · 1–0

⚽

17'

43'

▮

José Sá

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

Andre ↓ · J. Arias ↑

Substitution 1

57'

▮

Yerson Mosquera

Yellow Card

67'

⇄

J. S. Larsen ↓ · L. Krejci ↑

Substitution 2

69'

⚽

M. Mane

Assist · J. S. Larsen · 1–1

Tim Iroegbunam

Yellow Card

▮

77'

▮

Hee-Chan Hwang

Yellow Card

Michael Keane

Red Card

▮

83'

Jack Grealish

Yellow Card

▮

87'

N. Patterson ↓ · H. Armstrong ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

87'

Beto ↓ · T. Barry ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

87'

Jack Grealish

Yellow Card

▮

90'

Jack Grealish

Red Card

▮

90'

M. Rohl ↓ · D. McNeil ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+1'

90+5'

⇄

Pedro Lima ↓ · Hwang Hee-Chan ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Everton and Wolves drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Keane (17'), M. Mane (69'). Michael Keane was sent off in the 83' minute. Jack Grealish was sent off in the 90' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.43 units (Brier 0.181).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.81	—	62%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Home Win	1.83	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.87	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.13	—	39%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	41%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.30	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	—	81%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	86%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.35	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	88%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.68	—	25%	Cashed	+2.68	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.38	—	64%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.95	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.10	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.71	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.43u	−14% ROI