Match Parma vs Sassuolo May 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +13.9% better than the market.

Sassuolo arrives with a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Parma's home ground advantage. Parma's defensive solidity faces a stern test against Sassuolo's sharper attack, but the home side's compact block and recent wins hint at resilience. Expect a cautious tempo with a pressing edge from Sassuolo trying to break down a disciplined Parma backline.

Quality gap favors away side
Home defensive strength vs away offensive threat
Balanced pace with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed

AI 54% Implied 48% +1.10u

+110%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAR 3-5-2 · SAS 4-3-3

PAR · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · SAS

9 Pellegrino ⚽

Subs used · PAR

46'

Cardinali ↑ ·

Mikolajewski ↓

61'

Ndiaye ↑ ·

Valenti ↓

72'

Sorensen ↑ ·

Keita ↓

73'

Almqvist ↑ ·

Britschgi ↓

76'

Carboni ↑ ·

Valeri ↓

Subs used · SAS

54'

Felipe ↑ ·

Idzes ↓

65'

Matic ↑ ·

Kone ↓

66'

Nzola ↑ ·

Lauriente ↓

83'

Volpato ↑ ·

Lipani ↓

83'

Zacchi ↑ ·

Turati ↓

📊 Statistics

PAR 1 – 0 SAS

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.22

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 0

S. Britschgi

Yellow Card

▮

18'

▮

K. Thorstvedt

Yellow Card

21'

▮

T. Macchioni

Yellow Card

L. Valenti

Yellow Card

▮

30'

Half-time · 0 – 0

A. Cardinali ↓ · D. Mikolajewski ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

54'

⇄

Pedro Felipe ↓ · J. Idzes ↑

Substitution 1

A. Ndiaye ↓ · L. Valenti ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

65'

⇄

N. Matic ↓ · I. Kone ↑

Substitution 2

66'

⇄

M. Nzola ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑

Substitution 3

O. Sorensen ↓ · M. Keita ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

P. Almqvist ↓ · S. Britschgi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

F. Carboni ↓ · E. Valeri ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

M. Pellegrino

Assist · P. Almqvist · 1–0

⚽

80'

83'

⇄

C. Volpato ↓ · L. Lipani ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

G. Zacchi ↓ · S. Turati ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Parma beat Sassuolo 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 6, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Pellegrino (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.49 units (Brier 0.234).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.96	1.91	59%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Away Win	2.71	2.58	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	2.10	54%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.94	1.88	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	1.91	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.67	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.80	2.78	28%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.00	2.02	28%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	1.44	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	3.50	34%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	10.99	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	1.33	79%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.52	1.50	54%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	1.04	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.46	3.40	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	1.28	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	3.19	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.49u	−3% ROI