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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Cremonese — Como
Italy   /   Serie A
Cremonese
Cremonese
Home · last 5 D L L W W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Como
Como
L W D W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giovanni Zini · Cremona Referee F. Maresca
Home Win · CRE
13%
Best 5.72
Draw
22%
Best 4.43
Away Win · COM
65%
Best 1.63
Best bet
Away Win
@ 1.63
Fair odds
1.53
book 1.63 · +6.3% better than market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Best bet confidence
High
p 65% · EV +6.3%
AI preview · 90 sec read

AI sees no standout edge in this market — odds and probabilities line up.

Como arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Cremonese’s defensive solidity might keep things tight, but Como’s sharper attack and superior overall strength hint at a likely away success. The home side’s slight home edge is overshadowed by Como’s pressing and offensive threat.

  • Como’s attacking edge challenges Cremonese’s defense
  • Home side’s compact block may limit goals
  • Recent form favors the visitors’ momentum

Market · Fair (consensus)

4 bookmakers consensus · 15-min refresh
Market Best bookmaker Fair (consensus) AI prob. Edge
Away Win 1.63 1.59 65% +6.3% Watch
Under 3.5 1.44 1.44 72% +4.2% Watch
BTTS No 2.05 2.01 51% +4.1% Watch
Double Chance X2 1.18 1.17 87% +2.4% Watch
Draw 4.43 4.27 22% −4.2% Pass
Over 0.5 1.04 1.03 92% −4.6% Pass
Over 1.5 1.22 1.20 73% −10.7% Pass
BTTS Yes 1.75 1.74 49% −13.9% Pass
Over 2.5 1.76 1.67 48% −14.9% Pass
Double Chance 1X 2.44 2.34 35% −15.1% Pass
Over 3.5 2.88 2.70 28% −20.5% Pass
Home Win 5.72 5.38 13% −24.6% Pass
Away Win
book 1.63 · fair 1.59 · 65%
+6.3%
Watch
Under 3.5
book 1.44 · fair 1.44 · 72%
+4.2%
Watch
BTTS No
book 2.05 · fair 2.01 · 51%
+4.1%
Watch
Double Chance X2
book 1.18 · fair 1.17 · 87%
+2.4%
Watch
Draw
book 4.43 · fair 4.27 · 22%
−4.2%
Pass
Over 0.5
book 1.04 · fair 1.03 · 92%
−4.6%
Pass
Over 1.5
book 1.22 · fair 1.20 · 73%
−10.7%
Pass
BTTS Yes
book 1.75 · fair 1.74 · 49%
−13.9%
Pass
Over 2.5
book 1.76 · fair 1.67 · 48%
−14.9%
Pass
Double Chance 1X
book 2.44 · fair 2.34 · 35%
−15.1%
Pass
Over 3.5
book 2.88 · fair 2.70 · 28%
−20.5%
Pass
Home Win
book 5.72 · fair 5.38 · 13%
−24.6%
Pass
Best bookmaker — highest offer across all bookmakers. Fair (consensus) — median of all bookmakers with the bookmaker margin removed. AI prob. — AI's estimated probability of the outcome. Edge — how much the best bookmaker beats the AI-implied price (positive = value). ★ Top pick — highest-EV value bet; Watch — positive edge below the value threshold; Pass — no edge.

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.84
Goals Scored
1.65
1.43
Goals Conceded
0.76
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
3.35
Shots on Target
5.05
3.57
Corners
4.49
46.89
Possession (%)
61.35
91.63
Efficiency index
107.81
59.55
Adjusted index
115.09
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
35
OFF · home
90
30
DEF · home
85
5
OFF · away
55
15
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win

🎯 Scenario insights

Cremonese wins when scoring first
75%
Como wins when scoring first
83%
Cremonese BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Como BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Cremonese Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Como Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Cremonese comeback rate · last 10
0%
Como comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Cremonese · last 10 at home

0–15 13%
16–30 25%
31–45 13%
46–60 25%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%

Como · last 10 away

0–15 22%
16–30 11%
31–45 11%
46–60 6%
61–75 33%
76–90 17%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

F. Bonazzoli
CRE · Attacker
9 G · 0.33 g/90
T. Douvikas
COM · Attacker
13 G · 0.53 g/90
N. Paz
COM · Midfielder
12 G · 0.37 g/90