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Home › Italy › Serie A › Bologna — Inter

Bologna vs Inter 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L D W W D
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 16:00
3:3
Full-time
Inter
Inter
D W W D D Away · last 5
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna Referee Kevin Bonacina, Italy
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.26 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.63 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.55 ✗
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
1.18 – 1.59
Δ −0.41
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.40 — +7.7% better than the market.

Serie A Clash at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna hosts Inter in a matchup where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger offensive and defensive metrics. Inter's recent form shows a slight momentum advantage, while Bologna's home edge is modest but could help them stay compact. Expect a tactical battle with Inter pressing high and Bologna relying on a disciplined defensive block. The odds suggest a moderately open game, but the defensive solidity on both sides might keep the scoreline tight.

  • Inter's superior firepower challenges Bologna's defense
  • Home side's compactness may limit chances
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.40 ✓ Cashed
AI 77% Implied 71% +0.40u
+40%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BOL 4-3-3 · INT 3-5-2
BOL · 4-3-3 3-5-2 · INT 1 Skorupski 29 Silvestri 5 Helland 26 Lucumí 33 Miranda 19 Ferguson 8 Freuler 4 Pobega ⚽ 10 Bernardeschi ⚽ 9 Castro 11 Rowe 13 Martínez 31 Bisseck 6 Vrij 30 Augusto 17 Diouf ⚽ 23 Barella 7 Zieliński 8 Sučić 32 Dimarco ⚽ 94 Esposito ⚽ 10 Martínez
Subs used · BOL
66' Zortea ↑ · De Silvestri ↓
66' Moro ↑ · Freuler ↓
66' Odgaard ↑ · Pobega ↓
81' Heggem ↑ · Fauske Helland ↓
88' Dallinga ↑ · Bernardeschi ↓
Subs used · INT
54' Bonny ↑ · Martinez ↓
54' Mkhitaryan ↑ · Barella ↓
54' Henrique ↑ · Dimarco ↓
74' Cocchi ↑ · Sucic ↓
81' Topalovic ↑ · de Vrij ↓

Statistics

BOL 3 – 3 INT
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.18
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.59
11
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
9
1
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
14
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
0
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

18 · 3 – 3
22'
⚽
F. Dimarco
0–1
F. Bernardeschi
1–1
⚽
25'
41'
▮
L. Martinez
Yellow Card
T. Pobega
2–1
⚽
42'
Half-time · 2 – 1
P. Zielinski
Own goal · 3–1
⚽
48'
54'
⇄
A. Bonny ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 1
54'
⇄
H. Mkhitaryan ↓ · N. Barella ↑
Substitution 2
54'
⇄
Luis Henrique ↓ · F. Dimarco ↑
Substitution 3
64'
⚽
F. Esposito
3–2
N. Zortea ↓ · L. De Silvestri ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
N. Moro ↓ · R. Freuler ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
J. Odgaard ↓ · T. Pobega ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
66'
74'
⇄
M. Cocchi ↓ · P. Sucic ↑
Substitution 4
77'
▮
H. Mkhitaryan
Yellow Card
T. Heggem ↓ · E. Fauske Helland ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
81'
⇄
L. Topalovic ↓ · S. de Vrij ↑
Substitution 5
86'
⚽
A. Diouf
Assist · L. Topalovic · 3–3
T. Dallinga ↓ · F. Bernardeschi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

Bologna and Inter drew 3–3. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.18 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: F. Dimarco (22'), F. Bernardeschi (25'), T. Pobega (42'), P. Zielinski (48'), F. Esposito (64'), A. Diouf (86').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.11 units (Brier 0.183).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.26 2.00 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 2.30 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.55 2.26 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.62 1.49 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.50 2.66 38% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.54 1.49 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.85 1.83 44% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.75 2.72 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.40 1.29 77% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 1.65 59% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.55 1.57 60% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 4.50 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.82 3.70 25% Cashed +2.82 Cashed
Under 0.5 16.50 12.99 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 1.20 81% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Home Win 3.21 3.65 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.11u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BOL – INT @ 1.40
+7.7%
Edge
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