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Home › Italy › Serie A › Como — Parma

Predictions by Market: Como vs Parma

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
1:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · COM
77%
Best 1.30
Draw
18%
Best 6.01
Away Win · PAR
6%
Best 12.80
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.32
Fair odds
2.09
book 2.32 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +10.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 17.7%
Odds 6.27
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.8%
Odds 13.90
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.8%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.2%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.1%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.8%
Odds 7.40
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.14
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
COM – PAR @ 2.32
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →