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Home Italy Serie A Juventus — Fiorentina

Predictions Juventus vs Fiorentina May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 D D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
0:2
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Davide Massa, Italy
Home Win · JUV
74%
Best 1.39
Draw
18%
Best 5.75
Away Win · FIO
8%
Best 9.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.83
Fair odds
5.45
book 5.83 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 18% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (74%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 18.4%
Odds 5.83
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 8.1%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 41%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 8.1%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
JUV – FIO @ 5.83
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →