Match Udinese vs Cremonese May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.81 — +12.9% better than the market.

Udinese arrives with a clear home edge, boasting a stronger overall quality and a solid defensive setup that challenges Cremonese's attack. Their recent form shows momentum with four wins in five, contrasting with Cremonese's struggles. The tactical battle likely favors Udinese's compact block and set-piece threat, while Cremonese may find it tough to break through.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive limits
Udinese's recent winning rhythm
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 55% +0.81u

+81%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

UDI 3-5-2 · CRE 3-5-2

UDI · 3-5-2 3-5-2 · CRE

18 Buksa

Subs used · UDI

46'

Bertola ↑ ·

Kabasele ↓

60'

Zemura ↑ ·

Arizala ↓

71'

Bayo ↑ ·

Miller ↓

71'

Gueye ↑ ·

Davis ↓

79'

Camara ↑ ·

Kamara ↓

Subs used · CRE

60'

Floriani ↑ ·

Barbieri ↓

60'

Okereke ↑ ·

Bonazzoli ↓

82'

Collocolo ↑ ·

Maleh ↓

82'

Vandeputte ↑ ·

Thorsby ↓

88'

Djuric ↑ ·

Vardy ↓

📊 Statistics

UDI 0 – 1 CRE

63%

Possession (%)

37%

0.31

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 1

⚽

J. Vardy

0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

N. Bertola ↓ · C. Kabasele ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

51'

▮

F. Bonazzoli

Yellow Card

55'

▮

T. Barbieri

Yellow Card

60'

⇄

R. Floriani ↓ · T. Barbieri ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

D. Okereke ↓ · F. Bonazzoli ↑

Substitution 2

J. Zemura ↓ · J. Arizala ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

H. Kamara

Yellow Card

▮

67'

V. Bayo ↓ · L. Miller ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

I. Gueye ↓ · K. Davis ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

A. Camara ↓ · H. Kamara ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

82'

⇄

M. Collocolo ↓ · Y. Maleh ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

J. Vandeputte ↓ · M. Thorsby ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

M. Djuric ↓ · J. Vardy ↑

Substitution 5

90+1'

▮

A. Grassi

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Cremonese won 1–0 away at Udinese. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Vardy (9').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.60 units (Brier 0.242).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.81	1.73	62%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	1.93	57%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Home Win	2.51	2.45	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.79	1.79	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.60	1.54	51%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.16	2.10	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.85	1.81	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.19	2.15	24%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.42	1.38	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	3.25	36%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	8.47	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.10	3.00	24%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.29	1.25	80%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	1.05	88%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.40	3.19	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	1.33	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	3.75	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.60u	−4% ROI