Match Sassuolo vs Lecce May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.96 — +13.7% better than the market.

Sassuolo holds a clear quality edge over Lecce, supported by a stronger defensive setup and a home momentum reflected in recent results. Their offensive pressure is likely to challenge Lecce's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. The pace of the game may lean towards a controlled tempo, favoring a compact block and cautious buildup from both sides.

Home side's defensive solidity versus away's modest attack
Recent form favors Sassuolo's consistency
Likely tactical focus on minimizing risks and exploiting set-pieces

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.96 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · LEC 4-2-3-1

SAS · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · LEC

45 Laurienté ⚽

Subs used · SAS

63'

Pinamonti ↑ ·

Nzola ↓

63'

Lipani ↑ ·

Matic ↓

72'

Bakola ↑ ·

Kone ↓

72'

Volpato ↑ ·

Berardi ↓

88'

Frangella ↑ ·

Lauriente ↓

Subs used · LEC

63'

Jean ↑ ·

Banda ↓

79'

Gandelman ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

80'

Camarda ↑ ·

Cheddira ↓

85'

Stulic ↑ ·

Ramadani ↓

85'

Ndri ↑ ·

Veiga ↓

📊 Statistics

SAS 2 – 3 LEC

73%

Possession (%)

27%

2.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.87

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 2 – 3

14'

⚽

W. Cheddira

0–1

A. Lauriente

Assist · Pedro Felipe · 1–1

⚽

20'

25'

⚽

W. Cheddira

Assist · L. Banda · 1–2

Half-time · 1 – 2

54'

▮

Y. Ramadani

Yellow Card

A. Pinamonti ↓ · M. Nzola ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

L. Lipani ↓ · N. Matic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

⇄

G. Jean ↓ · L. Banda ↑

Substitution 1

D. Bakola ↓ · I. Kone ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

C. Volpato ↓ · D. Berardi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

T. Muharemovic

Yellow Card

▮

77'

79'

⇄

O. Gandelman ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

F. Camarda ↓ · W. Cheddira ↑

Substitution 3

81'

▮

D. Veiga

Yellow Card

A. Pinamonti

Assist · U. Garcia · 2–2

⚽

82'

85'

▮

Tiago Gabriel

Yellow Card

85'

⇄

N. Stulic ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑

Substitution 4

85'

⇄

K. Ndri ↓ · D. Veiga ↑

Substitution 5

C. Frangella ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

90+1'

▮

A. Gallo

Yellow Card

90+6'

⚽

N. Stulic

Assist · O. Gandelman · 2–3

Full-time · 2 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.83	1.75	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.96	1.95	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.99	1.95	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.13	2.10	37%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
Away Win	2.77	2.74	28%	Cashed	+1.77	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	1.80	42%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.95	1.95	28%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.50	1.44	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.83	2.70	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	3.25	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	9.01	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	1.26	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.49	1.44	56%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	1.05	86%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.32	3.19	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	1.33	62%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.75	3.75	18%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.68u	−4% ROI