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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lecce — Juventus

Predictions by Market: Lecce vs Juventus

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
Referee A. Colombo

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEC
11%
Best 9.00
Draw
21%
Best 4.68
Away Win · JUV
69%
Best 1.48
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.76
book 4.20 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +11.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.7%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 10.8%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.3%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 10.8%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 31.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LEC – JUV @ 4.20
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →