Match Cremonese vs Pisa May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.77 — +12.0% better than the market.

Cremonese holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, which could be crucial given their recent struggles. Both sides show limited attacking threat, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair. Cremonese’s defensive solidity contrasts with Pisa’s weaker backline, hinting at a match where defensive discipline will be key.

Home momentum despite patchy form
Compact defensive setup likely
Low tempo expected with under 2.5 goals favored

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.77 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRE 4-4-2 · PIS 3-5-2

CRE · 4-4-2 3-5-2 · PIS

10 Vardy ⚽

Subs used · CRE

59'

Zerbin ↑ ·

Pezzella ↓

59'

Thorsby ↑ ·

Maleh ↓

72'

Okereke ↑ ·

Vandeputte ↓

72'

Sanabria ↑ ·

Vardy ↓

85'

Folino ↑ ·

Luperto ↓

Subs used · PIS

37'

Angori ↑ ·

Leris ↓

37'

Calabresi ↑ ·

Moreo ↓

65'

Hojholt ↑ ·

Vural ↓

65'

Meister ↑ ·

Stojilkovic ↓

72'

Piccinini ↑ ·

Akinsanmiro ↓

📊 Statistics

CRE 3 – 0 PIS

77%

Possession (%)

23%

1.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.00

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

93%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 3 – 0

16'

▮

R. Bozhinov

Yellow Card

23'

▮

R. Bozhinov

Yellow Card

23'

▮

R. Bozhinov

Red Card

J. Vardy

1–0

⚽

31'

37'

⇄

S. Angori ↓ · M. Leris ↑

Substitution 1

37'

⇄

A. Calabresi ↓ · S. Moreo ↑

Substitution 2

Half-time · 1 – 0

49'

▮

A. Calabresi

Yellow Card

F. Bonazzoli

Assist · J. Vandeputte · 2–0

⚽

51'

57'

▮

F. Loyola

Red Card

A. Zerbin ↓ · G. Pezzella ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

M. Thorsby ↓ · Y. Maleh ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

65'

⇄

M. Hojholt ↓ · I. Vural ↑

Substitution 3

65'

⇄

H. Meister ↓ · F. Stojilkovic ↑

Substitution 4

D. Okereke ↓ · J. Vandeputte ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

A. Sanabria ↓ · J. Vardy ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

⇄

G. Piccinini ↓ · E. Akinsanmiro ↑

Substitution 5

F. Folino ↓ · S. Luperto ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

D. Okereke

Assist · A. Zerbin · 3–0

⚽

86'

89'

▮

M. Hojholt

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Cremonese beat Pisa 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 93% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.15 to 0.00. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 0, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.15 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Vardy (31'), F. Bonazzoli (51'), D. Okereke (86'). R. Bozhinov was sent off in the 23' minute. F. Loyola was sent off in the 57' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.07 units (Brier 0.122).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.77	1.67	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.77	1.81	62%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	1.75	58%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.05	2.00	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.17	1.99	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.22	2.20	37%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.20	3.10	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.21	1.18	85%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.30	1.32	62%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	8.47	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	1.22	81%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	4.03	3.55	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	1.06	88%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	1.36	63%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	5.00	4.63	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	4.00	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.55	3.62	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.07u	−30% ROI