Match Hellas Verona vs Como May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.96 — +11.1% better than the market.

Como enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Hellas Verona’s defensive struggles and limited offensive threat contrast with Como’s sharper attack and more compact defensive shape. The home side’s slight home edge is overshadowed by Como’s pressing and counter opportunities.

Como’s superior quality and form advantage
Verona’s defensive vulnerabilities
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.96 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 51% +0.96u

+96%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VER 3-5-1-1 · COM 4-2-3-1

VER · 3-5-1-1 4-2-3-1 · COM

18 Bowie

Subs used · VER

63'

Lovric ↑ ·

Bernede ↓

80'

Isaac ↑ ·

Akpa Akpro ↓

81'

Vermesan ↑ ·

Belghali ↓

Subs used · COM

36'

Moreno ↑ ·

Valle ↓

46'

Smolcic ↑ ·

Vojvoda ↓

46'

Baturina ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

46'

Caqueret ↑ ·

Perrone ↓

81'

Van der Brempt ↑ ·

Diao ↓

📊 Statistics

VER 0 – 1 COM

36%

Possession (%)

64%

0.97

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.90

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 1

36'

⇄

A. Moreno ↓ · A. Valle ↑

Substitution 1

P. Sammarco

Yellow Card

▮

39'

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

I. Smolcic ↓ · M. Vojvoda ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

M. Baturina ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 3

46'

⇄

M. Caqueret ↓ · M. Perrone ↑

Substitution 4

61'

▮

M. Caqueret

Yellow Card

S. Lovric ↓ · A. Bernede ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

71'

⚽

A. Douvikas

Assist · M. O. Kempf · 0–1

Isaac ↓ · J. Akpa Akpro ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

80'

81'

⇄

I. Van der Brempt ↓ · A. Diao ↑

Substitution 5

I. Vermesan ↓ · R. Belghali ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

84'

▮

C. Fabregas

Yellow Card

M. Frese

Yellow Card

▮

89'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Como won 1–0 away at Hellas Verona. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes.

On the scoresheet: A. Douvikas (71').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.46 units (Brier 0.123).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.96	1.91	57%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	1.64	59%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.19	2.17	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	1.91	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.46	1.39	71%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	3.60	31%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.11	1.08	91%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.92	2.92	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.13	1.11	71%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	10.99	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	1.31	77%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Draw	5.01	4.63	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.01	90%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	1.27	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	3.30	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	8.50	8.00	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.90	5.81	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.46u	−20% ROI