Match Cagliari vs Udinese May 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.91 — +7.1% better than the market.

Cagliari hosts Udinese in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, suggesting they may control key phases. Udinese's slightly better offensive profile against Cagliari's defense hints at moments of pressure, while Cagliari's home form shows resilience despite a defensive challenge. The recent head-to-heads have been tight, supporting a cautious, low-scoring encounter.

Udinese's attacking threat vs Cagliari's defense
Home momentum balanced by away quality
Likely compact, tactical battle with limited goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed

AI 56% Implied 52% +0.91u

+91%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

CAG 0 – 2 UDI

63%

Possession (%)

37%

1.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.17

22

Total Shots

9

5

Shots on Target

6

11

Shots off Target

2

15

Shots Inside Box

6

8

Corner Kicks

4

3

Offsides

3

10

Fouls

13

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

1

Yellow Cards

2

4

Goalkeeper Saves

3

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 2

44'

▮

K. Ehizibue

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

J. Pedro

Yellow Card

▮

53'

55'

⇄

N. Bertola ↓ · B. Mlacic ↑

Substitution 1

55'

⇄

L. Miller ↓ · J. Piotrowski ↑

Substitution 2

56'

⚽

A. Buksa

Assist · H. Kamara · 0–1

I. Sulemana ↓ · J. Pedro ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

G. Zappa ↓ · M. Palestra ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

65'

⇄

K. Davis ↓ · A. Buksa ↑

Substitution 3

A. Albarracin ↓ · M. Folorunsho ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

78'

⇄

I. Gueye ↓ · N. Zaniolo ↑

Substitution 4

78'

⇄

J. Arizala ↓ · K. Ehizibue ↑

Substitution 5

A. Belotti ↓ · M. Adopo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

Y. Trepy ↓ · A. Obert ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

90+2'

▮

K. Davis

Yellow Card

90+6'

⚽

I. Gueye

Assist · K. Davis · 0–2

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Udinese won 2–0 away at Cagliari. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.17 to 1.41. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Buksa (56'), I. Gueye (90+6').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.82 units (Brier 0.142).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.91	1.86	56%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.71	1.67	62%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.16	2.07	42%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.33	2.20	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.89	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.61	2.62	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.81	1.83	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.56	1.50	69%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Away Win	3.11	3.00	42%	Cashed	+2.11	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	3.00	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	1.40	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.40	1.37	63%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.50	8.00	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	1.22	81%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	1.07	87%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.25	3.00	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.20	4.05	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.82u	−17% ROI