Match Lazio vs Inter May 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Inter arrive with a clear quality edge and a potent attack that challenges Lazio's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Despite Lazio's slightly better recent form at home, Inter's offensive firepower and defensive solidity suggest they can control the game tempo. The match hints at a moderately open pace, with both sides capable of scoring but Inter likely to hold the upper hand.

Lazio's home momentum and compact block could limit chances.
Inter's pressing edge and superior quality may unlock defenses.
Balanced goal environment with potential for goals at both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

LAZ 0 – 3 INT

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.55

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.13

9

Total Shots

14

5

Shots on Target

5

3

Shots off Target

6

4

Shots Inside Box

10

5

Corner Kicks

1

0

Offsides

1

10

Fouls

8

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

93%

2

Yellow Cards

1

2

Goalkeeper Saves

4

⏱ Match events

17 · 0 – 3

6'

⚽

L. Martinez

Assist · M. Thuram · 0–1

39'

⚽

P. Sucic

Assist · L. Martinez · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

46'

⇄

A. Bonny ↓ · M. Thuram ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

D. Frattesi ↓ · N. Barella ↑

Substitution 2

L. Pellegrini

Yellow Card

▮

48'

O. Provstgaard ↓ · M. Gila ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

Patric ↓ · N. Rovella ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

56'

G. Isaksen ↓ · M. Cancellieri ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

56'

A. Romagnoli

Red Card

▮

59'

B. Dia ↓ · Pedro ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

62'

63'

⇄

Luis Henrique ↓ · A. Bastoni ↑

Substitution 3

63'

⇄

D. Dumfries ↓ · L. Martinez ↑

Substitution 4

T. Noslin

Yellow Card

▮

74'

76'

⚽

H. Mkhitaryan

Assist · A. Bonny · 0–3

M. Lazzari ↓ · A. Marusic ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

80'

⇄

M. Mosconi ↓ · P. Sucic ↑

Substitution 5

85'

▮

H. Mkhitaryan

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Inter won 3–0 away at Lazio. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.13 to 0.55. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.13 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Martinez (6'), P. Sucic (39'), H. Mkhitaryan (76'). A. Romagnoli was sent off in the 59' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.78 units (Brier 0.116).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.86	1.95	60%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.84	1.80	55%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.12	2.00	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.67	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	2.10	45%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.05	1.85	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.24	1.23	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	3.00	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	1.37	67%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.49	1.46	57%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	1.25	78%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	1.04	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.82	3.45	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	4.00	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	10.99	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.61	4.00	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.30	2.82	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.78u	−28% ROI