Match Cremonese vs Lazio May 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.76 — +9.1% better than the market.

Serie A Clash at Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese faces a tough challenge against Lazio, who hold a clear quality edge and better recent form. The home side's defensive solidity might keep the scoreline tight, as Lazio's attacking threat meets a compact block. Expect a measured tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, given both teams' cautious approach and recent low-scoring encounters.

Lazio's superior quality and form suggest control in midfield.
Cremonese's home defense could frustrate Lazio's offense.
Match pace hints at a tactical, less open game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.76 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRE 4-4-2 · LAZ 4-3-3

CRE · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · LAZ

99 Sanabria

Subs used · CRE

21'

Bianchetti ↑ ·

Baschirotto ↓

61'

Vardy ↑ ·

Sanabria ↓

61'

Bondo ↑ ·

Grassi ↓

61'

Payero ↑ ·

Zerbin ↓

68'

Barbieri ↑ ·

Floriani ↓

Subs used · LAZ

46'

Rovella ↑ ·

Patric ↓

46'

Noslin ↑ ·

Maldini ↓

60'

Pedro ↑ ·

Zaccagni ↓

71'

Dele-Bashiru ↑ ·

Taylor ↓

81'

Dia ↑ ·

Isaksen ↓

📊 Statistics

CRE 1 – 2 LAZ

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.51

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.96

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 2

M. Bianchetti ↓ · F. Baschirotto ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

21'

F. Bonazzoli

Assist · R. Floriani · 1–0

⚽

29'

40'

▮

O. Provstgaard

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

N. Rovella ↓ · Patric ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

T. Noslin ↓ · D. Maldini ↑

Substitution 2

53'

⚽

G. Isaksen

Assist · T. Noslin · 1–1

60'

⇄

Pedro ↓ · M. Zaccagni ↑

Substitution 3

J. Vardy ↓ · A. Sanabria ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

W. Bondo ↓ · A. Grassi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

61'

M. Payero ↓ · A. Zerbin ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

61'

T. Barbieri ↓ · R. Floriani ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

68'

71'

⇄

F. Dele-Bashiru ↓ · K. Taylor ↑

Substitution 4

T. Barbieri

Yellow Card

▮

76'

81'

⇄

B. Dia ↓ · G. Isaksen ↑

Substitution 5

88'

▮

N. Tavares

Yellow Card

90+2'

⚽

T. Noslin

Assist · B. Dia · 1–2

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Lazio won 2–1 away at Cremonese. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Bonazzoli (29'), G. Isaksen (53'), T. Noslin (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.36 units (Brier 0.168).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.76	1.73	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	1.93	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.57	2.45	47%	Cashed	+1.57	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.81	1.74	47%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.24	2.10	38%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.82	44%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.16	2.16	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.20	3.19	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.43	1.36	75%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.57	1.53	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.06	3.05	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	9.01	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	1.25	81%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	1.06	88%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.35	3.23	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	1.33	64%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	3.80	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.36u	−20% ROI