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Home Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Sassuolo

Predictions Fiorentina vs Sassuolo April 26, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 10:30
0:0
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee L. Marinelli
Home Win · FIO
43%
Best 2.04
Draw
26%
Best 3.48
Away Win · SAS
31%
Best 4.19
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.76
book 1.91 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (69%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30.8%
Odds 4.53
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25.5%
Odds 4.02
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.3%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 30.8%
Odds 3.18
Show model details
Implied probability 31.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 57%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
FIO – SAS @ 1.91
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →