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Home › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — Como

Genoa vs Como 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 13:00
0:2
Full-time
Como
Como
W D W W W Away · last 5
Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee F. La Penna
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.84 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.08 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.87 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.59 – 0.98
Δ −0.39
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.84 — +12.1% better than the market.

Serie A Clash: Genoa Host Como

Como holds a clear quality edge and offensive advantage, suggesting they can break down Genoa's sturdy defense. Genoa's home edge is moderate, offering some resilience, but Como's recent form shows a slight upward trend compared to Genoa's mixed results. Expect a tactical battle with Como pressing to exploit defensive gaps, while Genoa aims to leverage set-pieces and home momentum.

  • Como's stronger attack vs Genoa's defense
  • Genoa's home resilience but limited offensive threat
  • Balanced recent form with slight away momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.84 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 54% +0.84u
+84%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GEN 3-5-2 · COM 4-2-3-1
GEN · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · COM 16 Bijlow 27 Marcandalli 5 Østigård 34 Otoa 20 Sabelli 32 Frendrup 4 Amorim 77 Ellertsson 22 Vásquez 21 Ekhator 9 Vitinha 1 Butez 28 Smolčić 14 Ramón 34 Carlos 3 Valle 23 Perrone 33 Cunha 38 Diao ⚽ 10 Paz 20 Baturina 11 Douvikas ⚽
Subs used · GEN
46' Leali ↑ · Bijlow ↓
57' Messias ↑ · Otoa ↓
70' Colombo ↑ · Ekhator ↓
70' Malinovskyi ↑ · Amorim ↓
81' Cornet ↑ · Sabelli ↓
Subs used · COM
46' Caqueret ↑ · Paz ↓
57' O. Kempf ↑ · Carlos ↓
81' Morata ↑ · Douvikas ↓
81' Van der Brempt ↑ · Diao ↓
90+4' Kuhn ↑ · Baturina ↓

Statistics

GEN 0 – 2 COM
50%
Possession (%)
50%
0.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.98
9
Total Shots
8
1
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
15
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 0 – 2
10'
⚽
A. Douvikas
Assist · L. Da Cunha · 0–1
37'
▮
Diego Carlos
Yellow Card
39'
▮
Assane Diao
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
N. Leali ↓ · J. Bijlow ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
M. Caqueret ↓ · N. Paz ↑
Substitution 1
Junior Messias ↓ · S. Otoa ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
57'
57'
⇄
M. O. Kempf ↓ · Diego Carlos ↑
Substitution 2
68'
⚽
A. Diao
Assist · M. Caqueret · 0–2
L. Colombo ↓ · J. Ekhator ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
R. Malinovskyi ↓ · Amorim ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
M. Cornet ↓ · S. Sabelli ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
81'
⇄
A. Morata ↓ · A. Douvikas ↑
Substitution 3
81'
⇄
I. Van der Brempt ↓ · A. Diao ↑
Substitution 4
Junior Messias
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
90+3'
▮
Marc Kempf
Yellow Card
90+4'
⇄
N. Kuhn ↓ · M. Baturina ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Como won 2–0 away at Genoa. At half-time it was 0–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Douvikas (10'), A. Diao (68').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.07 units (Brier 0.108).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.84 — 61% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.08 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.87 — 52% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.93 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 — 50% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.12 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.24 — 85% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.35 — 61% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.75 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 — 72% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.31 — 74% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.42 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.96 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.75 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.49 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.07u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
GEN – COM @ 1.84
+12.1%
Edge
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