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Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Juventus

Predictions by Market: AC Milan vs Juventus

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 18:45
0:0
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee S. Sozza

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
25%
Best 2.83
Draw
29%
Best 3.18
Away Win · JUV
47%
Best 2.87
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.55
Fair odds
3.10
book 3.55 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +14.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (68%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.7%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.3%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 24.7%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MIL – JUV @ 3.55
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →