P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A Lecce — Fiorentina

Predictions Lecce vs Fiorentina April 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Mon 20 Apr · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Fabio Maresca, Italy
Home Win · LEC
21%
Best 3.55
Draw
26%
Best 3.30
Away Win · FIO
53%
Best 2.14
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.76
Fair odds
1.65
book 1.76 · +6.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 60% · EV +6.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.48
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 20.6%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.1%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.2%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 80.1%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.9%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 20.6%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.