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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Inter — Cagliari

Match Inter vs Cagliari April 17, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Fri 17 Apr · 18:45
3:0
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.32
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.63
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.49
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.19 – 0.42
Δ +1.77
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Inter hosts Cagliari with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled recently, while Inter's solid defensive shape should limit Cagliari's chances. The home side's recent form and tactical control suggest a match leaning towards their favor, with a moderate pace expected given the goal market odds.

  • Inter's offensive pressure vs Cagliari's leaky defense
  • Home advantage with compact block and set-piece threat
  • Form gap favors Inter's consistency and control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · CAG 3-5-2
Subs used · INT
76' Zielinski ↑ · Mkhitaryan
76' Henrique ↑ · Dimarco
76' Bonny ↑ · Thuram
85' Frattesi ↑ · Calhanoglu
89' Diouf ↑ · Barella
Subs used · CAG
57' Mendy ↑ · Borrelli
57' Deiola ↑ · Gaetano
76' Folorunsho ↑ · Sulemana
76' Zappa ↑ · Obert
87' Belotti ↑ · Pedro

📊 Statistics

INT 30 CAG
56%
Possession (%)
44%
2.19
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.42
18
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
1
8
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
6
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 3 – 0
23'
Sebastiano Esposito
Yellow Card
25'
Gennaro Borrelli
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
M. Thuram
Assist · F. Dimarco · 1–0
52'
N. Barella
2–0
56'
57'
P. Mendy ↓ · G. Borrelli ↑
Substitution 1
57'
A. Deiola ↓ · G. Gaetano ↑
Substitution 2
P. Zielinski ↓ · H. Mkhitaryan ↑
Substitution 1
76'
Luis Henrique ↓ · F. Dimarco ↑
Substitution 2
76'
A. Bonny ↓ · M. Thuram ↑
Substitution 3
76'
76'
M. Folorunsho ↓ · I. Sulemana ↑
Substitution 3
76'
G. Zappa ↓ · A. Obert ↑
Substitution 4
D. Frattesi ↓ · H. Calhanoglu ↑
Substitution 4
85'
87'
A. Belotti ↓ · J. Pedro ↑
Substitution 5
A. Diouf ↓ · N. Barella ↑
Substitution 5
89'
P. Zielinski
Assist · D. Dumfries · 3–0
90'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.32 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.63 60% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.49 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.60 61% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.45 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.65 55% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Draw 7.46 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.05 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.23 80% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.07 80% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.95 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.19 82% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.25 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 18.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 15.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 9.70 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.54u −38% ROI