Inter vs Cagliari 3:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.46 — +10.5% better than the market.

Inter hosts Cagliari with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled recently, while Inter's solid defensive shape should limit Cagliari's chances. The home side's recent form and tactical control suggest a match leaning towards their favor, with a moderate pace expected given the goal market odds.

Inter's offensive pressure vs Cagliari's leaky defense
Home advantage with compact block and set-piece threat
Form gap favors Inter's consistency and control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 7.46 ✗ Lost

AI 15% Implied 13% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · CAG 3-5-2

INT · 3-5-2 3-5-2 · CAG

9 Thuram ⚽

Subs used · INT

76'

Zielinski ↑ ·

Mkhitaryan ↓

76'

Henrique ↑ ·

Dimarco ↓

76'

Bonny ↑ ·

Thuram ↓

85'

Frattesi ↑ ·

Calhanoglu ↓

89'

Diouf ↑ ·

Barella ↓

Subs used · CAG

57'

Mendy ↑ ·

Borrelli ↓

57'

Deiola ↑ ·

Gaetano ↓

76'

Folorunsho ↑ ·

Sulemana ↓

76'

Zappa ↑ ·

Obert ↓

87'

Belotti ↑ ·

Pedro ↓

Statistics

INT 3 – 0 CAG

56%

Possession (%)

44%

2.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 3 – 0

23'

▮

Sebastiano Esposito

Yellow Card

25'

▮

Gennaro Borrelli

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

M. Thuram

Assist · F. Dimarco · 1–0

⚽

52'

N. Barella

2–0

⚽

56'

57'

⇄

P. Mendy ↓ · G. Borrelli ↑

Substitution 1

57'

⇄

A. Deiola ↓ · G. Gaetano ↑

Substitution 2

P. Zielinski ↓ · H. Mkhitaryan ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

76'

Luis Henrique ↓ · F. Dimarco ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

A. Bonny ↓ · M. Thuram ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

⇄

M. Folorunsho ↓ · I. Sulemana ↑

Substitution 3

76'

⇄

G. Zappa ↓ · A. Obert ↑

Substitution 4

D. Frattesi ↓ · H. Calhanoglu ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

87'

⇄

A. Belotti ↓ · J. Pedro ↑

Substitution 5

A. Diouf ↓ · N. Barella ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

P. Zielinski

Assist · D. Dumfries · 3–0

⚽

90'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Inter beat Cagliari 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.19 to 0.42. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 4.

On the scoresheet: M. Thuram (52'), N. Barella (56'), P. Zielinski (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.54 units (Brier 0.073).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.32	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.63	—	60%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.49	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.60	—	61%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.45	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.65	—	55%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Draw	7.46	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.23	—	80%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.07	—	80%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.95	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.19	—	82%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.25	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	18.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	15.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	9.70	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.54u	−38% ROI

Inter vs Cagliari 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled