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Home › Italy › Serie A › Juventus — Bologna

Juventus vs Bologna 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 D D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 18:45
2:0
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D W W D Away · last 5
Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.97 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.79 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.19 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.10 – 0.54
Δ +0.56
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.52 — +5.0% better than the market.

Juventus enter this clash with clear quality and home momentum, holding a notable edge in overall strength and form. Their robust defense faces a Bologna attack that struggles to break through, suggesting a tactical battle tilted towards the hosts. Recent form favors Juventus, who have been more consistent, while Bologna's defensive resilience may limit scoring chances, hinting at a controlled pace and moderate goal flow.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive challenges
  • Superior recent form and home advantage
  • Moderate tempo expected with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.52 ✓ Cashed
AI 69% Implied 66% +0.52u
+52%
ROI on stake

Lineups

JUV 3-4-2-1 · BOL 4-3-3
Subs used · JUV
46' Thuram ↑ · Holm ↓
72' Zhegrova ↑ · Conceicao ↓
72' Yildiz ↑ · David ↓
80' Gatti ↑ · Cambiaso ↓
86' Openda ↑ · Boga ↓
Subs used · BOL
58' Moro ↑ · Pobega ↓
59' Rowe ↑ · Cambiaghi ↓
59' Ferguson ↑ · Sohm ↓
68' Heggem ↑ · Fauske Helland ↓
77' Bernardeschi ↑ · Castro ↓

Statistics

JUV 2 – 0 BOL
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.10
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.54
14
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
0
4
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
5
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 2 – 0
J. David
Assist · P. Kalulu · 1–0
⚽
2'
Half-time · 1 – 0
K. Thuram ↓ · E. Holm ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
K. Thuram
Assist · W. McKennie · 2–0
⚽
57'
58'
⇄
N. Moro ↓ · T. Pobega ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
J. Rowe ↓ · N. Cambiaghi ↑
Substitution 2
59'
⇄
L. Ferguson ↓ · S. Sohm ↑
Substitution 3
Manuel Locatelli
Yellow Card
▮
60'
68'
⇄
T. Heggem ↓ · E. Fauske Helland ↑
Substitution 4
E. Zhegrova ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
K. Yildiz ↓ · J. David ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
77'
⇄
F. Bernardeschi ↓ · S. Castro ↑
Substitution 5
F. Gatti ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
80'
L. Openda ↓ · J. Boga ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Juventus beat Bologna 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.10 to 0.54. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1.

On the scoresheet: J. David (2'), K. Thuram (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.33 units (Brier 0.107).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.97 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.79 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.19 — 45% Cashed +1.19 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 — 49% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.73 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.52 — 69% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.14 — 90% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.87 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.45 — 66% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.16 — 69% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 — 78% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Draw 4.75 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.60 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.25 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.33u −31% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
JUV – BOL @ 1.52
+5.0%
Edge
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