P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Udinese — Parma

Match Udinese vs Parma April 18, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Udinese
Udinese
Home · last 5 D W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli · Udine Referee D. Di Marco
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.85
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 66% · book 1.66
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.24
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.13 – 1.23
Δ −0.10
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.85 — +10.4% better than the market.

Udinese holds a clear quality edge over Parma, especially at home where their defensive solidity stands out. Parma's attack struggles to break down compact defenses, while Udinese's offense faces a tough Parma backline, suggesting a tactical stalemate. Recent form is balanced, but Udinese's home momentum and sharper set-piece threat could tilt the scales.

  • Udinese's home defensive strength vs Parma's modest attack
  • Balanced recent form but home advantage favors Udinese
  • Likely a cautious pace with limited goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.85 ✓ Cashed
AI 60% Implied 54% +0.85u
+85%
ROI on stake

Lineups

UDI 3-4-1-2 · PAR 3-5-2
Subs used · UDI
64' Gueye ↑ · Piotrowski
64' Arizala ↑ · Kamara
73' Buksa ↑ · Ekkelenkamp
73' Zarraga ↑ · Ehizibue
81' Mlacic ↑ · Kristensen
Subs used · PAR
46' Elphege ↑ · Pellegrino
66' Ondrejka ↑ · Strefezza
66' Ordonez ↑ · Bernabe
72' Estevez ↑ · Nicolussi Caviglia
75' Britschgi ↑ · Ndiaye

📊 Statistics

UDI 01 PAR
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.23
16
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
1
9
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
8
10
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
8
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

13 · 0 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
N. Elphege ↓ · M. Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 1
51'
N. Elphege
Assist · G. Strefezza · 0–1
I. Gueye ↓ · J. Piotrowski ↑
Substitution 1
64'
J. Arizala ↓ · H. Kamara ↑
Substitution 2
64'
66'
J. Ondrejka ↓ · G. Strefezza ↑
Substitution 2
66'
C. Ordonez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 3
Nicolò Zaniolo
Yellow Card
70'
72'
N. Estevez ↓ · H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↑
Substitution 4
A. Buksa ↓ · J. Ekkelenkamp ↑
Substitution 3
73'
O. Zarraga ↓ · K. Ehizibue ↑
Substitution 4
73'
75'
S. Britschgi ↓ · A. Ndiaye ↑
Substitution 5
B. Mlacic ↓ · T. Kristensen ↑
Substitution 5
81'
Jesper Karlstrom
Yellow Card
84'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.85 60% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.66 66% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Home Win 2.24 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.42 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.73 47% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.00 39% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.29 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 84% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 3.15 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.45 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.50 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.11 86% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.82 18% Cashed +1.82 Cashed
Away Win 4.20 18% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.60 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.61u +4% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
UDI – PAR @ 1.85
+10.4%
Edge
Forecast →