Match Como vs Inter April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.94 — +14.4% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.94 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.94u

+94%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

COM 4-2-3-1 · INT 3-5-2

COM · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · INT

11 Douvikas

Subs used · COM

46'

Da Cunha ↑ ·

Roberto ↓

46'

Ramon ↑ ·

Carlos ↓

67'

Smolcic ↑ ·

Van der Brempt ↓

79'

Morata ↑ ·

Diao ↓

80'

Moreno ↑ ·

Valle ↓

Subs used · INT

46'

Augusto ↑ ·

Bastoni ↓

56'

Sucic ↑ ·

Zielinski ↓

56'

Henrique ↑ ·

Dimarco ↓

56'

Bonny ↑ ·

Esposito ↓

78'

Mkhitaryan ↑ ·

Barella ↓

📊 Statistics

COM 3 – 4 INT

60%

Possession (%)

40%

2.79

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.88

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

27 · 3 – 4

Álex Valle

Yellow Card

▮

24'

A. Valle

1–0

⚽

36'

N. Paz

Assist · J. Butez · 2–0

⚽

45'

⚽

M. Thuram

Assist · N. Barella · 2–1

Half-time · 2 – 1

L. Da Cunha ↓ · S. Roberto ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

J. Ramon ↓ · Diego Carlos ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

⇄

Carlos Augusto ↓ · A. Bastoni ↑

Substitution 1

49'

⚽

M. Thuram

2–2

53'

▮

Piotr Zieliński

Yellow Card

Assane Diao

Yellow Card

▮

55'

56'

⇄

P. Sucic ↓ · P. Zielinski ↑

Substitution 2

56'

⇄

Luis Henrique ↓ · F. Dimarco ↑

Substitution 3

56'

⇄

A. Bonny ↓ · F. Esposito ↑

Substitution 4

58'

⚽

D. Dumfries

Assist · H. Calhanoglu · 2–3

I. Smolcic ↓ · I. Van der Brempt ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

67'

69'

▮

Hakan Çalhanoğlu

Yellow Card

72'

⚽

D. Dumfries

2–4

77'

▮

Petar Sučić

Yellow Card

78'

⇄

H. Mkhitaryan ↓ · N. Barella ↑

Substitution 5

79'

▮

Francesco Acerbi

Yellow Card

A. Morata ↓ · A. Diao ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

A. Moreno ↓ · A. Valle ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

83'

▮

Carlos Augusto

Yellow Card

87'

▮

Ange-Yoan Bonny

Yellow Card

L. Da Cunha (P)

Penalty · 3–4

⚽

89'

Jacobo Ramón

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

▮

Manuel Akanji

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 4

Match recap

Inter won 4–3 away at Como. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.79 to 0.88. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 7, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 0.88 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Valle (36'), N. Paz (45'), M. Thuram (45'), M. Thuram (49'), D. Dumfries (58'), D. Dumfries (72'), L. Da Cunha (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.36 units (Brier 0.144).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.94	—	59%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Away Win	2.32	—	51%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	60%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS No	2.17	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.65	—	51%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.00	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.68	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.36	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.30	—	37%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.38	—	77%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	81%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.56	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.90	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.29	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.36u	−14% ROI