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Home › Italy › Serie A › Parma — Napoli

Predictions by Market: Parma vs Napoli

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee M. Di Bello

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAR
12%
Best 6.75
Draw
24%
Best 3.85
Away Win · NAP
64%
Best 1.57
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.70
Fair odds
1.56
book 1.70 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 64% · EV +8.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 64%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.91
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 12.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 80%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 20%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.5%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 64%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 12.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 36%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
PAR – NAP @ 1.70
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →