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Home › Italy › Serie A › Pisa — Torino

Pisa vs Torino 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 05 Apr · 16:00
0:1
Full-time
Torino
Torino
D L W L D Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.97 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.62 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.72 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.27 – 1.84
Δ −1.57
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.20 — +12.8% better than the market.

Torino enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they can challenge Pisa's compact defense. Despite both teams sharing similar recent form, Torino's better attacking potential against Pisa's sturdy backline hints at a tactical battle. The home side's defensive resilience may keep the scoreline tight, while the odds suggest a moderately paced game with limited goal-scoring bursts.

  • Torino's offensive edge vs Pisa's defense
  • Home side's defensive solidity
  • Balanced recent form but quality gap favors visitors

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 3.20 ✓ Cashed
AI 35% Implied 31% +2.20u
+220%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PIS 3-5-2 · TOR 3-4-1-2
PIS · 3-5-2 3-4-1-2 · TOR 1 Šemper 33 Calabresi 4 Caracciolo 5 Canestrelli 7 Léris 20 Aebischer 8 Højholt 10 Tramoni 3 Angori 32 Moreo 9 Meister 1 Paleari 23 Coco 44 Ismajli 77 Ebosse 16 Pedersen 4 Prati 66 Gineitis 33 Obrador 10 Vlašić 18 Simeone 17 Kulenović
Subs used · PIS
58' Stojilkovic ↑ · Moreo ↓
58' Loyola ↑ · Meister ↓
76' Akinsanmiro ↑ · Hojholt ↓
86' Cuadrado ↑ · Calabresi ↓
86' Toure ↑ · Leris ↓
Subs used · TOR
62' Adams ↑ · Kulenovic ↓
62' Casadei ↑ · Prati ↓
72' Anjorin ↑ · Simeone ↓
83' Tameze ↑ · Gineitis ↓
83' Lazaro ↑ · Pedersen ↓

Statistics

PIS 0 – 1 TOR
50%
Possession (%)
50%
0.27
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.84
7
Total Shots
13
1
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
8
5
Shots Inside Box
7
1
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
12
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

12 · 0 – 1
Michel Aebischer
Yellow Card
▮
14'
Half-time · 0 – 0
F. Stojilkovic ↓ · S. Moreo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
F. Loyola ↓ · H. Meister ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
62'
⇄
C. Adams ↓ · S. Kulenovic ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
C. Casadei ↓ · M. Prati ↑
Substitution 2
72'
⇄
F. Anjorin ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 3
E. Akinsanmiro ↓ · M. Hojholt ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
80'
⚽
C. Adams
Assist · M. Pedersen · 0–1
83'
⇄
A. Tameze ↓ · G. Gineitis ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
V. Lazaro ↓ · M. Pedersen ↑
Substitution 5
J. Cuadrado ↓ · A. Calabresi ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
I. Toure ↓ · M. Leris ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Torino won 1–0 away at Pisa. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.84 to 0.27. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 7, 2 on target.

On the scoresheet: C. Adams (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.99 units (Brier 0.157).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.97 — 55% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Away Win 2.62 — 48% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.72 — 62% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.37 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.78 — 48% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.60 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.30 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.20 — 35% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.37 — 77% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 81% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 88% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.25 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.35 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.38 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.99u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PIS – TOR @ 3.20
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →