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Home › England › Premier League › Bournemouth — Arsenal

Predictions by Market: Bournemouth vs Arsenal

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 03 Jan · 17:30
2:3
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth Referee Chris Kavanagh, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BOU
11%
Best 6.35
Draw
20%
Best 4.75
Away Win · ARS
69%
Best 1.48
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.54
Fair odds
1.45
book 1.54 · +6.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 69% · EV +6.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.04
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 11.4%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.6%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 11.4%
Odds 4.96
Show model details
Implied probability 20.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 88.6%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 31.1%
Odds 2.83
Show model details
Implied probability 35.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
BOU – ARS @ 1.54
+6.1%
Edge
Forecast →