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Home › Italy › Serie A › Juventus — Genoa

Predictions by Market: Juventus vs Genoa

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 D D W L D
Kick-off
Mon 06 Apr · 16:00
2:0
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Referee Davide Massa, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · JUV
73%
Best 1.39
Draw
20%
Best 4.60
Away Win · GEN
7%
Best 8.45
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.12
book 2.38 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (53%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.9%
Odds 4.93
Show model details
Implied probability 20.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.6%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.7%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.3%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
JUV – GEN @ 2.38
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →