Lazio vs Parma 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.88 — +13.5% better than the market.

Lazio Looks to Extend Home Momentum

Lazio holds a clear quality edge over Parma, boosted by a strong home form and a pressing edge in attack versus Parma's defense. Their recent winning streak at home contrasts with Parma's struggles on the road, suggesting Lazio's compact block and set-piece threat could dominate. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but Lazio's defensive solidity should limit Parma's chances.

Home momentum with recent wins
Superior attacking pressure against Parma's defense
Compact defensive setup to control the game tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.88 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LAZ 4-3-3 · PAR 3-5-2

LAZ · 4-3-3 3-5-2 · PAR

9 Pedro

Subs used · LAZ

57'

Lazzari ↑ ·

Marusic ↓

58'

Cancellieri ↑ ·

Isaksen ↓

58'

Noslin ↑ ·

Pedro ↓

65'

Dia ↑ ·

Maldini ↓

Subs used · PAR

71'

Estevez ↑ ·

Nicolussi Caviglia ↓

80'

Ordonez ↑ ·

Bernabe ↓

81'

Oristanio ↑ ·

Strefezza ↓

90+2'

Sorensen ↑ ·

Keita ↓

90+2'

Carboni ↑ ·

Britschgi ↓

Statistics

LAZ 1 – 1 PAR

61%

Possession (%)

39%

0.40

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.44

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

93%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 1

15'

⚽

E. Delprato

0–1

27'

▮

Gabriel Strefezza

Yellow Card

32'

▮

Mateo Pellegrino

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

M. Lazzari ↓ · A. Marusic ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

57'

M. Cancellieri ↓ · G. Isaksen ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

T. Noslin ↓ · Pedro ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

58'

B. Dia ↓ · D. Maldini ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

65'

71'

⇄

N. Estevez ↓ · H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↑

Substitution 1

T. Noslin

Assist · K. Taylor · 1–1

⚽

77'

80'

⇄

C. Ordonez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑

Substitution 2

81'

⇄

G. Oristanio ↓ · G. Strefezza ↑

Substitution 3

Tijjani Noslin

Yellow Card

▮

87'

90+2'

⇄

O. Sorensen ↓ · M. Keita ↑

Substitution 4

90+2'

⇄

F. Carboni ↓ · S. Britschgi ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Lazio and Parma drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 93% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Delprato (15'), T. Noslin (77').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.47 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.88	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.69	—	64%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
BTTS No	1.73	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.16	—	40%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.38	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.03	—	40%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	86%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.45	—	62%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.32	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.24	—	83%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	87%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.65	—	25%	Cashed	+2.65	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.70	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.20	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.66	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.47u	−15% ROI

Lazio vs Parma 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Lazio Looks to Extend Home Momentum

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled