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Home › Italy › Serie A › Como — Pisa

Predictions by Market: Como vs Pisa

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 11:30
5:0
Full-time
Pisa
Pisa
L L L L L Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee L. Pairetto

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · COM
77%
Best 1.25
Draw
17%
Best 5.80
Away Win · PIS
6%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.09
Fair odds
5.85
book 6.09 · +4.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +4.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (77%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.09
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.5%
Odds 13.30
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.9%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.7%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.5%
Odds 7.20
Show model details
Implied probability 13.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
COM – PIS @ 6.09
+4.0%
Edge
Forecast →