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Home › Italy › Serie A › Parma — Cremonese

Parma vs Cremonese 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 14:00
0:2
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee M. Fabbri
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.98 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.74 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 49% · book 2.19 ✗
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.34 – 0.72
Δ −0.38
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.26 — +6.3% better than the market.

Parma hosts Cremonese in a Serie A clash where home momentum contrasts with away struggles. Parma's recent form shows resilience with wins and draws, while Cremonese faces a tough patch. The home side's defensive solidity could stifle Cremonese's sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle leaning towards a tight scoreline. Expect a measured pace with limited goal-scoring chances given the cautious approach from both sides.

  • Parma's defensive edge at home
  • Cremonese's recent poor form
  • Likely low-scoring, controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.26 ✓ Cashed
AI 84% Implied 79% +0.26u
+26%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PAR 3-4-3 · CRE 4-4-2
PAR · 3-4-3 4-4-2 · CRE 31 Suzuki 39 Circati 37 Troilo 5 Valenti 27 Britschgi 22 Sørensen 16 Keita 14 Valeri 7 Strefezza 9 Pellegrino 17 Ondrejka 1 Audero 24 Terracciano 15 Bianchetti 5 Luperto 3 Pezzella 7 Zerbin 33 Grassi 29 Maleh ⚽ 27 Vandeputte ⚽ 90 Bonazzoli 99 Sanabria
Subs used · PAR
60' Oristanio ↑ · Sorensen ↓
60' Nicolussi Caviglia ↑ · Circati ↓
73' Estevez ↑ · Keita ↓
73' Elphege ↑ · Ondrejka ↓
Subs used · CRE
46' Barbieri ↑ · Zerbin ↓
67' Payero ↑ · Bonazzoli ↓
67' Vardy ↑ · Sanabria ↓
79' Thorsby ↑ · Vandeputte ↓
89' Folino ↑ · Bianchetti ↓

Statistics

PAR 0 – 2 CRE
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.34
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.72
8
Total Shots
7
1
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
2
3
Shots Inside Box
4
3
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
3
20
Fouls
15
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 0 – 2
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
T. Barbieri ↓ · A. Zerbin ↑
Substitution 1
50'
▮
Tommaso Barbieri
Yellow Card
54'
⚽
Y. Maleh
0–1
G. Oristanio ↓ · O. Sorensen ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↓ · A. Circati ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
Jacob Ondrejka
Yellow Card
▮
66'
67'
⇄
M. Payero ↓ · F. Bonazzoli ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
J. Vardy ↓ · A. Sanabria ↑
Substitution 3
68'
⚽
J. Vandeputte
Assist · J. Vardy · 0–2
N. Estevez ↓ · M. Keita ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
N. Elphege ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
73'
79'
⇄
M. Thorsby ↓ · J. Vandeputte ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
F. Folino ↓ · M. Bianchetti ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
▮
Martín Payero
Yellow Card
Mariano Troilo
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Lautaro Valenti
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
90+3'
▮
Giuseppe Pezzella
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Cremonese won 2–0 away at Parma. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Y. Maleh (54'), J. Vandeputte (68').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.39 units (Brier 0.206).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.98 — 60% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.74 — 67% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Home Win 2.19 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.80 — 51% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.27 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.21 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.26 — 84% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.28 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 59% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.50 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.96 — 24% Cashed +1.96 Cashed
Away Win 4.35 — 24% Cashed +3.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 85% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.30 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.39u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
PAR – CRE @ 1.26
+6.3%
Edge
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