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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Inter

Match Fiorentina vs Inter March 22, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Inter
Inter
D W W D D Away · last 5
Referee Andrea Colombo, Italy
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.81
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 65% · book 1.67
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.81
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.28 – 1.22
Δ +1.06
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.81 — +9.5% better than the market.

Inter enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a strong away offensive threat against Fiorentina's solid but less dynamic defense. Despite Fiorentina's home momentum and recent wins, Inter's pressing and tactical discipline could exploit gaps, especially given their superior form over the last five matches. The match hints at a lively pace with chances for both sides, but Inter's sharper attack and defensive resilience suggest they hold the upper hand.

  • Inter's offensive pressure vs Fiorentina's defense
  • Home momentum for Fiorentina but quality gap favors visitors
  • Potential for goals given attacking strengths and pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.81 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 55% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FIO 4-1-4-1 · INT 3-5-2
Subs used · FIO
69' Harrison ↑ · Parisi
86' Piccoli ↑ · Kean
90+1' Fabbian ↑ · Fagioli
90+1' Comuzzo ↑ · Gudmundsson
Subs used · INT
46' Acerbi ↑ · Augusto
68' Bonny ↑ · Thuram
69' Frattesi ↑ · Calhanoglu
83' Sucic ↑ · Barella
86' Henrique ↑ · Dumfries

📊 Statistics

FIO 11 INT
40%
Possession (%)
60%
2.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.22
16
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Corner Kicks
5
5
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
12
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
1'
F. Esposito
Assist · N. Barella · 0–1
42'
Federico Dimarco
Yellow Card
44'
Carlos Augusto
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
F. Acerbi ↓ · Carlos Augusto ↑
Substitution 1
Marco Brescianini
Yellow Card
55'
Cher Ndour
Yellow Card
60'
62'
Nicolò Barella
Yellow Card
Moise Kean
Yellow Card
65'
68'
A. Bonny ↓ · M. Thuram ↑
Substitution 2
J. Harrison ↓ · F. Parisi ↑
Substitution 1
69'
69'
D. Frattesi ↓ · H. Calhanoglu ↑
Substitution 3
C. Ndour
1–1
77'
83'
P. Sucic ↓ · N. Barella ↑
Substitution 4
R. Piccoli ↓ · M. Kean ↑
Substitution 2
86'
86'
Luis Henrique ↓ · D. Dumfries ↑
Substitution 5
G. Fabbian ↓ · N. Fagioli ↑
Substitution 3
90+1'
P. Comuzzo ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.81 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.67 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.81 58% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS No 2.08 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.15 40% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.38 35% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.40 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.20 87% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 61% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 81% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.38 22% Cashed +3.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.70 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.92 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.33u −8% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
FIO – INT @ 1.81
+9.5%
Edge
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