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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Cagliari — Napoli

Match Cagliari vs Napoli March 20, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Cagliari
Cagliari
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Fri 20 Mar · 17:30
0:1
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Unipol Domus · Cagliari Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 64% · book 1.70
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.68
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.67
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.35 – 1.77
Δ −1.42
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli arrives at Unipol Domus with clear quality superiority and recent winning momentum, contrasting with Cagliari's struggles and defensive vulnerabilities. Napoli's attacking edge against Cagliari's defense suggests they can break through, while the home side's compact block and set-piece threat might limit the damage. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but Napoli's control and efficiency likely tilt the balance.

  • Napoli's superior overall strength and form advantage
  • Cagliari's defensive resilience but recent poor results
  • Moderate tempo favoring Napoli's attacking quality

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CAG 3-5-2 · NAP 3-4-2-1
Subs used · CAG
65' Kilicsoy ↑ · Folorunsho
73' Mendy ↑ · Pedro
73' Deiola ↑ · Adopo
84' Trepy ↑ · Esposito
84' Raterink ↑ · Rodriguez
Subs used · NAP
55' Santos ↑ · Lobotka
77' Spinazzola ↑ · Politano
77' Anguissa ↑ · Gilmour
84' Jesus ↑ · Olivera

📊 Statistics

CAG 01 NAP
33%
Possession (%)
67%
0.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.77
7
Total Shots
17
0
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
16
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

14 · 0 – 1
2'
S. McTominay
0–1
17'
Stanislav Lobotka
Yellow Card
Zé Pedro
Yellow Card
35'
Half-time · 0 – 1
55'
Alisson Santos ↓ · S. Lobotka ↑
Substitution 1
S. Kilicsoy ↓ · M. Folorunsho ↑
Substitution 1
65'
69'
Mathías Olivera
Yellow Card
P. Mendy ↓ · J. Pedro ↑
Substitution 2
73'
A. Deiola ↓ · M. Adopo ↑
Substitution 3
73'
77'
L. Spinazzola ↓ · M. Politano ↑
Substitution 2
77'
F. Anguissa ↓ · B. Gilmour ↑
Substitution 3
Y. Trepy ↓ · S. Esposito ↑
Substitution 4
84'
O. Raterink ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 5
84'
84'
Juan Jesus ↓ · M. Olivera ↑
Substitution 4
Alberto Dossena
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.70 64% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.68 60% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
BTTS No 1.67 58% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.39 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.30 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.38 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.17 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.95 33% Cashed +1.95 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.45 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.22 64% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.23 79% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.87 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.33 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.30 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.62 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.28u −25% ROI